How Much Is Your Home Worth?

The Tucson residential real estate market remains balanced as we move deeper into the spring season. While home prices softened slightly month-over-month, buyer activity remains steady and inventory levels continue to improve compared to the ultra-competitive market conditions seen during 2021–2022.
Balanced Market Conditions
Median Home Price: $375,000
Average Home Price: $435,000
Average Price Per SqFt: $225
Days on Market (DOM): 34 days
Months of Inventory: 3.45 months
Average % Over/Under List Price: -1.96%
30-Year Mortgage Rates: fluctuating between 6.375%–6.625%
In April, Tucson’s housing market experienced slight pricing adjustments while maintaining overall market stability.
The average sales price decreased to $435K
The median sales price settled at $375K
Homes averaged $225 per square foot
Sellers received approximately 1.96% below asking price on average
Days on Market declined to 34 days
Housing inventory lowered to 3.45 months of supply
Overall, Tucson continues operating in a healthier and more balanced environment compared to the extreme seller’s market conditions of recent years.
International conflict in the Middle East continues to create economic uncertainty that directly impacts the U.S. housing market.
Recent escalations involving Israel, Iran, and the United States have increased volatility across:
Stock markets
Oil and gas prices
Inflation expectations
Mortgage interest rates
As uncertainty rises globally, mortgage rates can fluctuate rapidly. If tensions ease and economic conditions stabilize, we could potentially see mortgage rates trend downward later in 2026.
Mortgage rates remain one of the biggest drivers of buyer affordability and overall housing demand in Tucson and across Arizona.
Inventory remains one of the most important indicators in real estate.
A balanced housing market typically has around:
4–6 months of inventory
For comparison:
During the peak seller’s market of 2021–2022, Tucson inventory dropped as low as 1 month of supply
April 2026 inventory sits at 3.45 months
This increase gives buyers:
More home choices
Greater negotiating power
More time to make decisions
However, if mortgage rates were lower, current inventory levels would likely feel much more competitive and favor sellers again.
New construction remains strong throughout many areas of Greater Tucson.
Builders in communities such as:
Vail
Marana
Oro Valley outskirts
Southeast Tucson growth corridors
continue offering aggressive incentives that compete directly with resale homes.
Many builders are currently advertising:
Interest rates as low as 3.99%
Closing cost incentives
Appliance packages
Rate buy-down programs
Compared to resale financing near 6.25%, these incentives create strong competition for existing home sellers—especially in outer suburban areas where new construction is more concentrated.
Central Tucson generally faces less pressure from new builds due to limited available land and lower new construction volume.
As Tucson moves further into the spring season, buyer demand is expected to continue improving.
Key factors influencing the market moving forward include:
Mortgage interest rate movement
Consumer confidence
Inventory levels
Inflation trends
Global economic stability
Well-priced homes in desirable Tucson neighborhoods are still attracting strong buyer interest, especially homes that are move-in ready and competitively priced.
Whether you are:
Buying your first home
Selling an inherited property
Downsizing
Relocating
Investing in Tucson real estate
understanding current market conditions is critical to making the right move.
Curious what your home is worth? Thinking about buying or selling in Tucson?
Anytime you have questions about your home or the Tucson real estate market, consider me a resource.
Ryan Comstock
📞 520-488-2982
Top 1% Tucson Realtor®
20+ Years of Real Estate Experience
Website: www.ryancomstock.com